{"id":1549,"date":"2025-06-21T09:18:12","date_gmt":"2025-06-21T09:18:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/zanistencivaki.org\/ar\/?p=1549"},"modified":"2025-06-21T09:18:12","modified_gmt":"2025-06-21T09:18:12","slug":"%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%b1%d9%83%d8%a7%d8%a6%d8%b2-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%a3%d8%b3%d8%a7%d8%b3%d9%8a%d8%a9-%d9%84%d8%a7%d8%b3%d8%aa%d8%b1%d8%a7%d8%aa%d9%8a%d8%ac%d9%8a%d8%a9-%d9%86%d8%b8%d8%a7%d9%85-%d8%a7%d9%84-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zanistencivaki.org\/ar\/%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%b1%d9%83%d8%a7%d8%a6%d8%b2-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%a3%d8%b3%d8%a7%d8%b3%d9%8a%d8%a9-%d9%84%d8%a7%d8%b3%d8%aa%d8%b1%d8%a7%d8%aa%d9%8a%d8%ac%d9%8a%d8%a9-%d9%86%d8%b8%d8%a7%d9%85-%d8%a7%d9%84-2\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0627\u0626\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0646\u0638\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0648\u0636\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0627\u0626\u0645\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0631\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u062f\u064a\u062f"},"content":{"rendered":"

Son \u0130srail sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131yla birlikte, ABD ve \u0130srail’deki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015fu \u00e7evrelerinde hakim olan s\u00f6ylemi ve Orta Do\u011fu ger\u00e7ekli\u011fini yeniden de\u011ferlendirmek gerekli hale geldi. Orta Do\u011fu’da hegemonik politika konusunda bir fikir birli\u011fi oldu\u011fu ve en az\u0131ndan uluslararas\u0131 d\u00fczeyde, gelecek y\u00fczy\u0131l i\u00e7in orta vadeli bir tasar\u0131m oldu\u011fu ger\u00e7e\u011fini g\u00f6z ard\u0131 etmemeliyiz.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Sykes-Picot’un 1916’da \u00e7izdi\u011fi s\u0131n\u0131rlar art\u0131k bir haritadaki \u00e7izgilerden ibaret. Bu sadece b\u00f6lgesel d\u00fczenin da\u011f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fil, ayn\u0131 zamanda daha derin bir d\u00fczeyde anlam\u0131n\u0131n kayboldu\u011funu da g\u00f6steriyor. Bu d\u00fczen yirmi birinci y\u00fczy\u0131lda da\u011f\u0131lmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. Irak’a m\u00fcdahalenin geli\u015fmesi, Arap Bahar\u0131 ile devam eden halk hareketleri, vekalet sava\u015flar\u0131, \u0130srail’in 7 Ekim’de ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 operasyon, Amerikan geri \u00e7ekilme-geri d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f stratejileri, Rus-\u0130ran ekseninin y\u00fckseli\u015fi ve ard\u0131ndan gelen k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar, t\u00fcm bunlar Sykes-Picot haritas\u0131n\u0131n ve mant\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n da\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7t\u0131.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Bu model hem ge\u00e7ici bir ge\u00e7i\u015f stratejisi hem de kal\u0131c\u0131 hale gelmesi ama\u00e7lanan bir yap\u0131n\u0131n prototipidir. Ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7ta ABD, \u0130srail ve k\u0131smen de \u0130ngiltere i\u00e7in ge\u00e7ici bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm olarak ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Irak, Libya, L\u00fcbnan, Filistin ve Suriye’de do\u011frudan i\u015fgal art\u0131k m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fildi. Alternatifler bulmak i\u00e7in yeni kavramlar geli\u015ftirildi. Bunlar da son derece maliyetliydi ve kontrol\u00fc kaybetme riski vard\u0131. Devletleri y\u0131kmak ve devirmek kolayd\u0131 ancak k\u00fclt\u00fcrel diren\u00e7 nedeniyle yenilerini kurmak zordu. Bu nedenle mant\u0131k ve strateji geli\u015fti: “Devlet kurmadan y\u00f6netelim, harita \u00e7izmeden kontrol edelim, b\u00f6lge \u00fczerinde kontrol\u00fc s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in yerel gruplar\u0131 ve vekilleri kullanal\u0131m.” Bu ge\u00e7ici bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm olarak sunuldu. \u0130stikrar sa\u011fland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda planlamaya ge\u00e7ilecekti: “Yeni bir Ortado\u011fu d\u00fczeni kuraca\u011f\u0131z.”<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Zamanla, esnek, merkezi olmayan ve par\u00e7alanm\u0131\u015f kontrol modelinin Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri ve \u0130srail’in en iyi \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 do\u011frultusunda oldu\u011fu ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Model herhangi bir devletin egemenli\u011fini veya s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131n\u0131 tan\u0131mad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00e7ok fazla sorumluluk almak istenmiyordu. T\u00fcm yerel otoriteler i\u015fbirli\u011fi yapan devletlerin kontrol\u00fcne tabiydi. Bir grup ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olursa, bir tane geli\u015ftirerek di\u011ferine ge\u00e7mek kolayd\u0131. Kontrol, bir ordu g\u00f6ndermeden veya para harcamadan vekil g\u00fc\u00e7ler taraf\u0131ndan y\u00f6netiliyordu. B\u00f6ylece, son on be\u015f y\u0131lda bir\u00e7ok ihlalle karakterize edilen bir s\u00fcre\u00e7 geli\u015fti. Eski haritay\u0131 tan\u0131m\u0131yordu, ancak ayn\u0131 zamanda yenisini de geli\u015ftirmiyordu. Bu nedenle, bu model art\u0131k ge\u00e7ici de\u011fildi, aksine onu yeni sistemin \u00e7ekirde\u011fi haline getirmek i\u00e7in \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yordu. \u015eimdi, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015flar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a hedefin “s\u0131n\u0131rlara ve haritalara dayal\u0131 istikrar de\u011fil, y\u00f6netilebilir bir kaos ve i\u015flevsel bir b\u00f6lge sistemi” oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Bu stratejiyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir k\u0131lmak i\u00e7in \u0130srail ve \u0130brahim Anla\u015fmalar\u0131 ile yeni bir g\u00fcvenlik \u015femsiyesi kuruldu; burada do\u011fal gaz boru hatlar\u0131 ve ticaret yollar\u0131 g\u00fcvenlik b\u00f6lgelerine ba\u011flan\u0131yor. Merkezin zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131na ra\u011fmen uyumlu akt\u00f6rler geli\u015fiyor ve devlet d\u0131\u015f\u0131 topluluklara ve herkese ideolojik-politik beklentiler ve beklentiler sa\u011flanarak yeni normalle\u015fme stratejileri uygulan\u0131yor; yeter ki d\u00fcr\u00fcst, sad\u0131k ve pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 destekleyici kals\u0131nlar.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Sonu\u00e7ta bu sistem “krize ge\u00e7ici bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm” olarak ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131 ancak \u015fimdi “yeni, kal\u0131c\u0131 bir sistem”e d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

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Sonu\u00e7 olarak T\u00fcrkiye \u015fu anda bir kontrol m\u00fccadelesinin tam ortas\u0131nda. Bir yandan etkili olmas\u0131 gereken bir devlet ama rol\u00fcn\u00fc ve i\u015flevini kabul etmiyor ve meseleleri baltalamak ve oyunu bozmak i\u00e7in \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. \u00d6te yandan T\u00fcrkiye bu durumu kategorik olarak reddediyor ve \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131na uyacak \u015fekilde d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 b\u00f6lgesel hegemonya plan\u0131 var. Sorun \u00e7ok y\u00f6nl\u00fc ve yap\u0131sal. Ya T\u00fcrkiye \u00e7\u00f6ker ve teslim olur ya da ba\u015fka yollarla halklar aras\u0131nda e\u015fitli\u011fe dayal\u0131 yeni bir ittifak kurar ya da bu durumu i\u00e7eriden yeni bir dinamikle a\u015far. Bu nedenle T\u00fcrkiye tarihi bir e\u015fikte duruyor.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Son \u0130srail sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131yla birlikte, ABD ve \u0130srail’deki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015fu \u00e7evrelerinde hakim olan s\u00f6ylemi ve Orta Do\u011fu ger\u00e7ekli\u011fini yeniden de\u011ferlendirmek gerekli hale geldi. Orta Do\u011fu’da hegemonik politika konusunda bir fikir birli\u011fi oldu\u011fu ve en az\u0131ndan uluslararas\u0131 d\u00fczeyde, gelecek y\u00fczy\u0131l i\u00e7in orta vadeli bir tasar\u0131m oldu\u011fu ger\u00e7e\u011fini g\u00f6z ard\u0131 etmemeliyiz. Sykes-Picot’un 1916’da \u00e7izdi\u011fi s\u0131n\u0131rlar art\u0131k bir haritadaki …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1549","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zanistencivaki.org\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1549","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zanistencivaki.org\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zanistencivaki.org\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zanistencivaki.org\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zanistencivaki.org\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1549"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/zanistencivaki.org\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1549\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1551,"href":"https:\/\/zanistencivaki.org\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1549\/revisions\/1551"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zanistencivaki.org\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1549"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zanistencivaki.org\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1549"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zanistencivaki.org\/ar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1549"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}